Kansas revenue forecasters just lowered expectations for tax revenue in FY 2016 and FY 2017 by $348 million, putting the budgets for those two years deeply in the red.
Make no mistake. The problem directly results from steep income tax cuts enacted in 2012 and 2013.
Note the chart below. In FY 2013, general fund tax revenue reached a high of $6.333 billion, and then fell to $5.632 billion in FY 2014 after the income tax cuts were fully implemented. Tax revenue stayed at that low level in FY 2015, growing only a scant $85 million. The revised revenue estimate now predicts tax receipts will grow to $5.865 billion in FY 2016 and to $6.039 billion in FY 2017.